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Cargo route in focus · Europe

RUH–LHR

King Khaled International Airport, Riyadh → London Heathrow Airport, London

Route snapshot · data through May 2026 · updated 24 October 2026 · next update December 2026. Current figures on the platform →

Riyadh - London cargo trend is up. The near-term outlook is uncertain.

11K tcargo, 12 months to May 2026
+6.1%year on year
Decpeak month

Cargo history

04368731.3KJun 2024: 653JJul 2024: 705JAug 2024: 788ASep 2024: 729SOct 2024: 850ONov 2024: 1,063NDec 2024: 1,007DJan 2025: 825JFeb 2025: 892FMar 2025: 564MApr 2025: 1,063AMay 2025: 869MJun 2025: 858JJul 2025: 987JAug 2025: 1,152ASep 2025: 791SOct 2025: 878ONov 2025: 1,085NDec 2025: 1,212DJan 2026: 1,099JFeb 2026: 706FMar 2026: 731MApr 2026: 600AMay 2026: 517M

Monthly cargo tonnes. Darker bars are the latest twelve months.

Seasonality

03607201.1KJan: 867JanFeb: 776FebMar: 632MarApr: 762AprMay: 657MayJun: 756JunJul: 749JulAug: 895AugSep: 743SepOct: 807OctNov: 982NovDec: 1,000Dec

Average tonnes by calendar month. December runs 24.6% above the monthly average; March is the low point.

Cargo forecast and confidence

01.3K2.5K3.8KDec 2024May 2026May 2027

Solid line: reported tonnes. Dashed: forecast, shaded by its 95% interval.

Months 1–6

No better than last year's actuals.

Low
Months 7–12

Measured error 30%, against 28% for comparable routes.

Moderate

Freighter recommendation

31 freighter flights a month, about 7 a week for December 2026. Operators flew zero in no month.

Boeing 767-200 Freighter

Current · 41 t payload · 90% load

Airbus A330-300P2F

New generation. · 62 t payload · 60% load

Boeing 767-300 Freighter

Current · 52 t payload · 71% load

Sized on 36.98 tonnes per flight, from the comparable routes inherited; Filled to a target 93% load factor.

Measured against what operators flew

87,113freight route-months evaluated against what operators flew
88%implied freighter load: recommended payload against tonnes actually carried
0.86×of demand's own seasonal swing tracked, across 2,260 freight routes

Measured July 2024 to June 2026, out of sample.

See the full forecast and recommendations for RUH–LHR →